{
    "schema": "prokopton42-public-concept-v1",
    "id": "probable_judgment",
    "canonical_url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/concepts/jugement-probable/",
    "language": "fr",
    "title": "Jugement probable",
    "editorial_status": "substantive_editorial_draft",
    "definition_editorial_status": "agent_machine_evidence_assessed_draft_v1",
    "definition_evidence_passages": [
        "passage:seneca.de_beneficiis:4.33",
        "passage:sextus_empiricus.outlines:3",
        "passage:seneca.epistulae_morales:91.14"
    ],
    "summary": "Le jugement probable autorise une décision raisonnable sans transformer une apparence persuasive en certitude.",
    "body": "Dans le corpus actuel, cette annotation relie 1 685 passages de 168 œuvres, notamment Papiers d’Abraham Lincoln: documents attribués à Lincoln, Papiers d’Abraham Lincoln: courrier reçu et documents de contexte, Métaphysique. Ces rapprochements donnent des points de comparaison vérifiables; ils ne supposent pas que chaque auteur emploie le concept dans le même sens.",
    "aliases": [
        "probable",
        "probabile",
        "persuasif",
        "persuasive",
        "vraisemblable",
        "veri simile"
    ],
    "statistics": {
        "works": 168,
        "passages": 1685,
        "thinkers": 38,
        "traditions": 13
    },
    "related_traditions": [
        {
            "id": "political-thought",
            "name": "Pensée politique et démocratie",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/courants-de-pensee/pensee-politique-democratie/"
        },
        {
            "id": "greek-roman-traditions",
            "name": "Traditions grecques et romaines",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/courants-de-pensee/traditions-grecques-romaines/"
        },
        {
            "id": "buddhism",
            "name": "Bouddhisme",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/courants-de-pensee/bouddhisme/"
        },
        {
            "id": "skepticism",
            "name": "Scepticisme",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/courants-de-pensee/scepticisme/"
        },
        {
            "id": "stoicism",
            "name": "Stoïcisme",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/courants-de-pensee/stoicisme/"
        },
        {
            "id": "science",
            "name": "Sciences et pensée scientifique",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/courants-de-pensee/sciences-pensee-scientifique/"
        },
        {
            "id": "epicureanism",
            "name": "Épicurisme",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/courants-de-pensee/epicurisme/"
        },
        {
            "id": "modern-philosophy",
            "name": "Philosophie moderne et contemporaine",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/courants-de-pensee/philosophie-moderne-contemporaine/"
        },
        {
            "id": "psychology",
            "name": "Psychologie et psychanalyse",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/courants-de-pensee/psychologie-psychanalyse/"
        },
        {
            "id": "platonism",
            "name": "Socratisme et platonisme",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/courants-de-pensee/socratisme-platonisme/"
        },
        {
            "id": "chinese-thought",
            "name": "Pensées chinoises anciennes",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/courants-de-pensee/pensees-chinoises/"
        },
        {
            "id": "new-thought",
            "name": "New Thought et science mentale",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/courants-de-pensee/new-thought-science-mentale/"
        },
        {
            "id": "christianity",
            "name": "Christianisme",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/courants-de-pensee/christianisme/"
        }
    ],
    "related_works": [
        {
            "id": "abraham_lincoln.papers_authored",
            "title": "Papiers d’Abraham Lincoln: documents attribués à Lincoln",
            "author": "Abraham Lincoln",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/abraham-lincoln/papiers-ecrits-par-lincoln/"
        },
        {
            "id": "abraham_lincoln.papers_context",
            "title": "Papiers d’Abraham Lincoln: courrier reçu et documents de contexte",
            "author": "Correspondants et dossier d’archive",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/abraham-lincoln-archive-correspondents/courrier-recu-et-contexte/"
        },
        {
            "id": "aristotle.metaphysics",
            "title": "Métaphysique",
            "author": "Aristote",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/aristotle/metaphysics/"
        },
        {
            "id": "aristotle.nicomachean_ethics",
            "title": "Éthique à Nicomaque",
            "author": "Aristote",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/aristotle/nicomachean-ethics/"
        },
        {
            "id": "aristotle.poetics",
            "title": "Poétique",
            "author": "Aristote",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/aristotle/poetics/"
        },
        {
            "id": "aristotle.politics",
            "title": "Politique",
            "author": "Aristote",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/aristotle/politics/"
        },
        {
            "id": "aristotle.rhetoric",
            "title": "Rhétorique",
            "author": "Aristote",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/aristotle/rhetoric/"
        },
        {
            "id": "buddha.anguttara_nikaya",
            "title": "Aṅguttara Nikāya: discours classés par nombres",
            "author": "Siddhartha Gautama / Bouddha",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/buddha/anguttara-nikaya/"
        },
        {
            "id": "carneades.ancient_testimonia",
            "title": "Témoignages antiques sur Carnéade",
            "author": "Carnéade",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/carneades/ancient-testimonia/"
        },
        {
            "id": "chrysippus.svf_2",
            "title": "SVF II : logique et physique de Chrysippe",
            "author": "Chrysippe",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/chrysippus/svf-2/"
        },
        {
            "id": "chrysippus.svf_3",
            "title": "SVF III : éthique de Chrysippe",
            "author": "Chrysippe",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/chrysippus/svf-3/"
        },
        {
            "id": "cicero.academica",
            "title": "Académiques",
            "author": "Cicéron",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/cicero/academica/"
        },
        {
            "id": "cicero.brutus",
            "title": "Brutus ou Des orateurs illustres",
            "author": "Cicéron",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/cicero/brutus/"
        },
        {
            "id": "cicero.catilinarians",
            "title": "Catilinaires",
            "author": "Cicéron",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/cicero/catilinarians/"
        },
        {
            "id": "cicero.letters_to_atticus",
            "title": "Lettres à Atticus",
            "author": "Cicéron",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/cicero/letters-to-atticus/"
        },
        {
            "id": "cicero.letters_to_friends",
            "title": "Lettres aux familiers",
            "author": "Cicéron",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/cicero/letters-to-friends/"
        },
        {
            "id": "cicero.lucullus",
            "title": "Lucullus, second livre des Académiques",
            "author": "Cicéron",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/cicero/lucullus/"
        },
        {
            "id": "cicero.de_divinatione",
            "title": "De la divination",
            "author": "Cicéron",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/cicero/de-divinatione/"
        },
        {
            "id": "cicero.de_officiis",
            "title": "Des devoirs",
            "author": "Cicéron",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/cicero/de-officiis/"
        },
        {
            "id": "cicero.de_finibus",
            "title": "Des fins des biens et des maux",
            "author": "Cicéron",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/cicero/de-finibus/"
        },
        {
            "id": "cicero.de_fato",
            "title": "Du destin",
            "author": "Cicéron",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/cicero/de-fato/"
        },
        {
            "id": "cicero.de_senectute",
            "title": "De la vieillesse",
            "author": "Cicéron",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/cicero/de-senectute/"
        },
        {
            "id": "cicero.de_oratore",
            "title": "De l’orateur",
            "author": "Cicéron",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/cicero/de-oratore/"
        },
        {
            "id": "cicero.de_legibus",
            "title": "Des lois",
            "author": "Cicéron",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/cicero/de-legibus/"
        },
        {
            "id": "cicero.de_natura_deorum",
            "title": "De la nature des dieux",
            "author": "Cicéron",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/cicero/de-natura-deorum/"
        },
        {
            "id": "cicero.de_republica",
            "title": "De la République",
            "author": "Cicéron",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/cicero/de-republica/"
        },
        {
            "id": "cicero.philippics",
            "title": "Philippiques",
            "author": "Cicéron",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/cicero/philippics/"
        },
        {
            "id": "cicero.paradoxa_stoicorum",
            "title": "Paradoxes des stoïciens",
            "author": "Cicéron",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/cicero/paradoxa-stoicorum/"
        },
        {
            "id": "cicero.tusculan_disputations",
            "title": "Tusculanes",
            "author": "Cicéron",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/cicero/tusculan-disputations/"
        },
        {
            "id": "cleanthes.svf_1",
            "title": "SVF I : Cléanthe",
            "author": "Cléanthe",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/cleanthes/svf-1/"
        },
        {
            "id": "cleanthes.pearson_fragments",
            "title": "Pearson : fragments de Cléanthe",
            "author": "Cléanthe",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/cleanthes/pearson-fragments/"
        },
        {
            "id": "diogenes.dio_orations",
            "title": "Discours diogéniques de Dion Chrysostome",
            "author": "Dion Chrysostome",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/dion-chrysostome/dio-orations/"
        },
        {
            "id": "diogenes.lucian_sale",
            "title": "Philosophes à vendre, sections 7 à 11, par Lucien de Samosate",
            "author": "Lucien de Samosate",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/lucien-de-samosate/lucian-sale/"
        },
        {
            "id": "einstein.geometry_experience_fr",
            "title": "La Géométrie et l’expérience, traduction française",
            "author": "Albert Einstein",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/einstein/geometry-experience-fr/"
        },
        {
            "id": "einstein.relativity_popular_en",
            "title": "La Relativité: théorie restreinte et générale, traduction anglaise",
            "author": "Albert Einstein",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/einstein/relativity-popular-en/"
        },
        {
            "id": "einstein.sidelights_on_relativity",
            "title": "Éclairages sur la relativité",
            "author": "Albert Einstein",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/einstein/sidelights-on-relativity/"
        },
        {
            "id": "einstein.born_letters",
            "title": "Correspondance Born-Einstein: lettres d’Einstein",
            "author": "Albert Einstein",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/einstein/born-letters/"
        },
        {
            "id": "einstein.meaning_of_relativity",
            "title": "La Signification de la relativité",
            "author": "Albert Einstein",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/einstein/meaning-of-relativity/"
        },
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            "id": "elizabeth_carter.answers_to_objections",
            "title": "Réponses aux objections concernant la religion chrétienne, par Elizabeth Carter",
            "author": "Elizabeth Carter",
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            "id": "elizabeth_carter.epictetus_introduction",
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            "author": "Elizabeth Carter",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/elizabeth-carter/epictetus-introduction/"
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            "id": "elizabeth_carter.talbot_letters",
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            "author": "Elizabeth Carter",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/elizabeth-carter/talbot-letters/"
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        {
            "id": "elizabeth_carter.montagu_letters",
            "title": "Lettres d’Elizabeth Carter à Elizabeth Montagu",
            "author": "Elizabeth Carter",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/elizabeth-carter/montagu-letters/"
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            "id": "elizabeth_carter.vesey_letters",
            "title": "Lettres d’Elizabeth Carter à Elizabeth Vesey",
            "author": "Elizabeth Carter",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/elizabeth-carter/vesey-letters/"
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        {
            "id": "elizabeth_carter.miscellaneous_prose",
            "title": "Proses diverses d’Elizabeth Carter",
            "author": "Elizabeth Carter",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/elizabeth-carter/miscellaneous-prose/"
        },
        {
            "id": "elizabeth_carter.bible_notes",
            "title": "Notes d’Elizabeth Carter sur la Bible",
            "author": "Elizabeth Carter",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/elizabeth-carter/bible-notes/"
        },
        {
            "id": "epictetus.discourses",
            "title": "Entretiens d’Épictète, recueillis par Arrien",
            "author": "Épictète",
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            "id": "epicurus.letter_to_herodotus",
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            "author": "Épicure",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/epicure/letter-to-herodotus/"
        },
        {
            "id": "sartre.existentialisme_humanisme",
            "title": "L’existentialisme est un humanisme",
            "author": "Jean-Paul Sartre",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/jean-paul-sartre/existentialisme-humanisme/"
        },
        {
            "id": "locke.essay_human_understanding",
            "title": "Essai philosophique concernant l’entendement humain",
            "author": "John Locke",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/john-locke/essay-human-understanding/"
        },
        {
            "id": "locke.second_treatise",
            "title": "Second Traité du gouvernement civil",
            "author": "John Locke",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/john-locke/second-treatise/"
        },
        {
            "id": "jung.collected_papers_analytical_psychology",
            "title": "Essais réunis de psychologie analytique",
            "author": "Carl Gustav Jung",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/jung/collected-papers-analytical-psychology/"
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        {
            "id": "jung.psychology_of_the_unconscious",
            "title": "Psychologie de l’inconscient: métamorphoses et symboles de la libido",
            "author": "Carl Gustav Jung",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/jung/psychology-of-the-unconscious/"
        },
        {
            "id": "jung.theory_of_psychoanalysis",
            "title": "La Théorie de la psychanalyse",
            "author": "Carl Gustav Jung",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/jung/theory-of-psychoanalysis/"
        },
        {
            "id": "marcus_aurelius.meditations",
            "title": "Pensées à moi-même",
            "author": "Marc Aurèle",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/marc-aurele/meditations/"
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        {
            "id": "montaigne.essais",
            "title": "Essais",
            "author": "Michel de Montaigne",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/montaigne/essais/"
        },
        {
            "id": "musonius_rufus.discourses",
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            "author": "Musonius Rufus",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/musonius-rufus/discourses/"
        },
        {
            "id": "nietzsche.gay_science",
            "title": "Le Gai Savoir",
            "author": "Friedrich Nietzsche",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/nietzsche/gay-science/"
        },
        {
            "id": "panaetius.fowler_fragments",
            "title": "Fragments de Panétius dans l’édition Fowler",
            "author": "Panétius",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/panaetius/fowler-fragments/"
        },
        {
            "id": "plato.alcibiades_1",
            "title": "Premier Alcibiade",
            "author": "Platon",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/platon/alcibiades-1/"
        },
        {
            "id": "plato.apology",
            "title": "Apologie de Socrate",
            "author": "Platon",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/platon/apology/"
        },
        {
            "id": "plato.charmides",
            "title": "Charmide",
            "author": "Platon",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/platon/charmides/"
        },
        {
            "id": "plato.cratylus",
            "title": "Cratyle",
            "author": "Platon",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/platon/cratylus/"
        },
        {
            "id": "plato.epinomis",
            "title": "Épinomis, appendice ancien aux Lois",
            "author": "Platon",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/platon/epinomis/"
        },
        {
            "id": "plato.epistles",
            "title": "Lettres attribuées à Platon",
            "author": "Platon",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/platon/epistles/"
        },
        {
            "id": "plato.gorgias",
            "title": "Gorgias",
            "author": "Platon",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/platon/gorgias/"
        },
        {
            "id": "plato.hipparchus",
            "title": "Hipparque, dialogue pseudo-platonicien",
            "author": "Platon",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/platon/hipparchus/"
        },
        {
            "id": "plato.hippias_minor",
            "title": "Hippias mineur",
            "author": "Platon",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/platon/hippias-minor/"
        },
        {
            "id": "plato.laches",
            "title": "Lachès",
            "author": "Platon",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/platon/laches/"
        },
        {
            "id": "plato.laws",
            "title": "Les Lois",
            "author": "Platon",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/platon/laws/"
        },
        {
            "id": "plato.lovers",
            "title": "Les Rivaux, dialogue pseudo-platonicien",
            "author": "Platon",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/platon/lovers/"
        },
        {
            "id": "plato.lysis",
            "title": "Lysis",
            "author": "Platon",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/platon/lysis/"
        },
        {
            "id": "plato.menexenus",
            "title": "Ménexène",
            "author": "Platon",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/platon/menexenus/"
        },
        {
            "id": "plato.meno",
            "title": "Ménon",
            "author": "Platon",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/platon/meno/"
        },
        {
            "id": "plato.minos",
            "title": "Minos, dialogue pseudo-platonicien",
            "author": "Platon",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/platon/minos/"
        },
        {
            "id": "plato.phaedo",
            "title": "Phédon",
            "author": "Platon",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/platon/phaedo/"
        },
        {
            "id": "plato.phaedrus",
            "title": "Phèdre",
            "author": "Platon",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/platon/phaedrus/"
        },
        {
            "id": "plato.republic",
            "title": "La République",
            "author": "Platon",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/platon/republique/"
        },
        {
            "id": "plato.sophist",
            "title": "Le Sophiste",
            "author": "Platon",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/platon/sophist/"
        },
        {
            "id": "plato.statesman",
            "title": "Le Politique",
            "author": "Platon",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/platon/statesman/"
        },
        {
            "id": "plato.symposium",
            "title": "Le Banquet",
            "author": "Platon",
            "url": "https://prokopton42.com/fr/ouvrages/platon/symposium/"
        },
        {
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